The New Cotton Policy Has Led To The Reduction Of Cotton Prices In The Mainland, And Where Do Cotton Farmers Go?

The picture shows that the Liuhe village of Xiantao was once a national cotton demonstration planting base, and this experiment is now facing the fate of suspension.

The picture shows: on the afternoon of 11, there is a street in Qianjiang.

The picture shows: because the price is not good, the Yang Tai Po house of Chen Village in Tianmen is still storing 21 bales of cotton.

The introduction of the new cotton policy will help stabilize Xinjiang's cotton growers' confidence, but the enthusiasm for cotton planting in the mainland will be a great blow. Cotton farmers will not only earn money but also lose money.

8, new round Cotton policy Promulgated. Approved by the State Council, the target price of cotton in China's famous cotton producing area, Xinjiang, has been adjusted to 19100 yuan / ton, down 700 yuan / ton compared with last year. "Compared with the target price reduction in Xinjiang, the subsidy standards in the mainland will definitely decrease correspondingly." Yesterday, the provincial cotton association responsible person evaluation, the new policy is conducive to the stability of Xinjiang cotton farmers planting confidence, but also further released the state "Xinjiang to protect the mainland", let the cotton really return to the market strong signal. "However, this policy is right. Cotton growing in the mainland Enthusiasm will be a big blow, and cotton farmers' willingness to grow cotton is expected to be further reduced. The person in charge predicted.

Recently, reporters visited Jianghan Plain, Jingzhou and other major cotton producing areas, confirming this judgment.

visit

　 Farmers' willingness to grow cotton has been greatly reduced.

On the 8 day, although the weather had already cleared up, Yang Chunhua, the village of Yang Si Tan Village in Huang Tan town of Tianmen, was not busy preparing for fertilization as before. "This year, we are determined not to grow cotton, and turn all the beans and corn into production." in the face of the visit of reporters, the 54 year old cotton farmer has been complaining all the time: last year when he knew that the policy had changed, he still planted 40 mu of cotton with his head. As a result, by the end of the year, prices did not exceed 3 yuan / Jin, and not only did they not earn money, but also lost more than 10 thousand yuan.

"The main loss is in labor!" Yang Chunhua counted the accounts. Last year, he averaged 40 acres of cotton fields, and the cost of physicochemical cost per mu was 464.28 yuan (including seed 60.41 yuan, pesticide 93.06 yuan, fertilizer 293.27 yuan, other expenses 17.54 yuan), but the labor cost had spent 1012.26 yuan. "In our place, we don't give 120 yuan a day, but we can't afford to have anyone. It's not a sum of money." However, according to the annual purchase price of Mu less than 400 Jin and an average of 2.8 yuan / Jin, the average income of Mu is only 1120 yuan.

"Even if we get more than 100 yuan of subsidies from the state, we still need to lose nearly 200 yuan per mu." Yang Chunhua said, after that, it was impossible for the workers to be unable to afford the labor. They simply refused to accept it. Many seeds and cotton stalks were shoveled away directly as straw.

The market is not good, the price is not good, reporter investigation found that such pressure, in ordinary cotton farmers there also feel obvious.

"Last year was like giving money a bath." Next year, at least half of the corn will be replanted! "In the Liuhe village of Yang Lin tail Town, Xiantao, 2 groups of cotton growers Li Xianbo gave an analogy to reporters. He planted about 15 acres of cotton fields last year, and his wife worked hard in the fields for nearly 8 months, almost making no money.

Li Hongjun in the same group changed more thoroughly. This year, he plans to transform all 9 acres of cotton fields into sesame and soybeans. "No worry about planting cotton, you can stagger a certain farm hour and work nearby." Li Hongjun, 46, said that planting cotton is also like earning an artificial money, but earning at least 160 yuan a day at his age.

"Basically, they can turn around." Yang Si Tan Village Secretary Yang Binshu told reporters that 356 farmers in the village, in 2013, 90% of the species of cotton; in 2014, cotton farmers reduced to 70%; this year, it is expected to be cut at least half.

Cotton seed sales are less than 1/10 in previous years.

The cotton seed market is a barometer reflecting cotton growers' willingness to grow. In the Tianmen agricultural market, the reporter interviewed Li Linying, the old business operator and the general agent of Hubei cotton brand Tianmen.

Li Linying said that farmers began last year. Buying cotton seeds The amount is decreasing, but the most obvious is this year. "At this time last year, it could also be wholesale one by one (one for 50 bags). This year it was sold in bags and bags. Only 100 seeds were entered this year, and now it is only a selling point to the township. From the sales situation before the festival, it is less than 1/10 last year, and the price of a bag of 260 grams of cotton seeds has dropped from 80 yuan to 35 yuan now. At present, Li Linying only dares to store 1 seeds in the retail store.

Such scenes also appeared in Qianjiang's agricultural capital market. Hou Zhihu, general agent of a cotton variety in the city, told reporters that from the Spring Festival to April, his family had not sold a bag of cotton seeds, "the willingness to grow cotton has dropped to freezing point."

"Seed reduction is inevitable." Xiao Changxi, director of the Department of cropping industry of the Provincial Department of agriculture, revealed that the cotton planting area in our province will be reduced by at least 20% on the basis of the 5 million 172 thousand mu last year.

The proportion of seed reduction in some traditional cotton growing markets is even more prominent. Tu Tao, director of the office of Qianjiang Agricultural Bureau, said that in 2011 -2014, the cotton planting area in the city decreased year by year, and in 2014, it decreased by 67 thousand and 200 mu compared with that in 2013, with a decrease of 18.10%. Zhijiang Agricultural Bureau revealed that under the guidance of national policies, the cotton seed area in 2014 was maintained at 190 thousand mu, but this year it is estimated that less than 100 thousand mu.

Correspondingly, output is also declining. Affected by the state's cancellation of temporary purchase and storage, and the market target price subsidy policy, cotton purchase price has also been greatly reduced, cotton growers' enthusiasm for planting cotton has been reduced, plus weather conditions, cotton production has been delayed, delayed, wilt and Verticillium wilt increased, and most cotton fields have continued to decrease. In Tianmen and Gongan County, the cotton yield per unit area is estimated to be about 20% less than that of the previous year.

What's more, cotton planting efficiency is decreasing year by year. From 2011 to 2014, the average annual economic benefits of cotton planting in Xiantao were 1373 yuan, 1235 yuan, 839 yuan and 698 yuan respectively, and the average benefit of the latter 3 years decreased by 138 yuan, 396 yuan and 141 yuan respectively.

way out

Replanting is not necessarily cost-effective.

Cotton seed is not cost-effective, will it be better to replant other crops? The answer is: not necessarily. Most cotton fields are dry land with poor water source conditions. In most cases, only crops such as corn, soybean and sweet potato can be replanted. Guo Ziping, the chief of the Agricultural Technology Extension Station of the Provincial Department of agriculture, said that although these dry grain crops are labor-saving, fertilizer saving and provincial medicine, the general income is not high - not artificial, and generally can guarantee the income of more than 500 yuan per mu.

This is not a big change. It may lead to a risk of catching up and catching up. Taking the corn with higher profits as an example, last year, under the guidance of the guiding opinions on the adjustment of planting structure in the cotton growing area promulgated by the Provincial Department of agriculture, many cotton areas "reducing cotton and expanding jade" finally became a new highlight of grain production in our province. The total output of corn was 2 million 936 thousand and 500 tons, an increase of 229 thousand tons over the previous year, and contributed 27.63% to the annual grain output increase, making a great contribution to the continuous increase of grain eleven. However, this can not conceal the fact that the yield per unit area is down by 3.18%, and the price is low to 1.2 yuan / Jin. The annual income of Mu is only 800 yuan. "If we calculate at least 7-10 jobs that need to be invested at least, 150 yuan for each job, the yield will not be better than that of cotton seed. If there is sand land, the income will be even worse. " Guo Ziping said, compared with cotton farmers, cotton farmers are more likely to replant the rice fields with good water conditions. Because of the national protective price acquisition, the yield per mu can be guaranteed at around 800 yuan. However, new problems have come again, such as insufficient water conservancy conditions and large investment in farmland transformation.

Last year, the village of Xiantao Liuhe, supported by the comprehensive farmland transformation project, spent a million yuan. It rebuilt 40 acres of cotton fields and planted rice. The yield per mu was up, but the cost of reconstructing more fields was not acceptable.

"With so much input, we still prefer to grow cotton." Peng Yingwu, the 3 group of villagers in the village, said he had 7.5 acres of dry land and insisted on planting cotton this year.

Core is stabilizing agriculture and increasing efficiency

"In fact, when the market is good, cotton is still one of the most cost-effective varieties of all the cash crops in our province, which is also an important reason for many cotton farmers' homes not to give up cotton." Xiao Changxi said.

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